Credits: Newshub. … The Alpine Fault is overdue for an earthquake that could reshape the South Island, scientists say. They were able to narrow down the timing of the last big one to 1717 by looking at tree ring patterns. The Alpine Fault is a big feature of South Island geography and seismic activity. This is a few years old but is a good look at plate tectonics in New Zealand: Dunedin is about as far as you can get in the South Island from the fault but when the big one strikes it is certain to be felt here (we feel larger Fiordland earthquakes as well as the bigger Christchurch quakes) and it is likely to have  major effects across the South Island, and also in the lower North Island. The Alpine Fault runs 400km up the South Island, along the western edge of the Southern Alps. The last time was in 1717. A massive earthquake on the South Island's Alpine Fault is predicted to shake Canterbury at a "much higher intensity" than previously thought, new research shows. The story is told instead by trees, sediments, and the landscape of the South Island's West Coast.". Climate changes..meh.. who cares its been happening since time started and here we are richer and healthier than ever. The Alpine Fault is overdue for an earthquake that could reshape the South Island, scientists say. Source: 1 NEWS . The … But. Plato’s Theory of Forms similar Torres Islanders’ beliefs, A Christian reconsiders the Resurrection of Christ, Science versus ‘populist voice’ on criminal justice, Little change in latest 1 News/Colmar Brunton poll, Claim that Peters was briefed on NZ First Foundation operations, Long campaign but still a fairly predictable outcome, Locked Up in New Zealand - Days of Covid-19 Lockdown — Estralians. ", Copyright © 2020 MediaWorks TV - All Rights Reserved, By subscribing you agree to our Terms of Access and Privacy Policy. An Alpine Fault earthquake will be felt by every South Islander and likely many North Islanders, too. Gee mention climate change and Griff appears out of nowhere armed with pretty charts albeit meaningless ones but I appreciate the effort. Erosion rates in the hanging wall of the Alpine Fault are high, keeping pace with rock uplift over time frames of 10⁴–10⁶ years. 16th May 2019 - New Zealand Government delivers strategy for sustainable tourism growth. Reply. Alpine Fault quake expected NZASE article 2019 Scientists estimate a 30 percent likelihood in the next 50 years of a magnitude 8 or higher (M8+) earth- quake along 400km of the Alpine Fault, a strength about three times greater than the 7.8 Kaikoura quake in 2016. It’s about 30 years past the ‘average’ period of time in which a major 7.8-8.0 quake occurs. What if the big one however many years ago settled the thing for eons and took most of the pressure out ? Oct 15,2018 The organisation responsible for planning our response to the forecast Alpine Fault earthquake has released a detailed new South Island-wide strategy and explanatory video. ( Log Out /  Change ), You are commenting using your Google account. Results of the DFDP-2B drilling revealed high temperatures adjacent to the Alpine Fault: much hotter than predicted. The spine of the South Island’s most significant earthquake risk, the Alpine Fault, runs right through the Wakatipu. Threat of quake in alps wanes. Same thing happened with the Kaikoura quakes, but I kept refreshing the page every minute – never seen anything like it before. The videos are intended to both warn and educate our community about the overdue Alpine Fault earthquake which is expected to be in the magnitude 8 range. Stuff has the latest information on this: Videos show devastating impact across South Island if Alpine Fault ruptures. The Alpine Fault is the biggest but just one of many fault lines affecting New Zealand. I went straight on to Geonet when we felt the first big rock n roll from the first Sedden event series a couple of years back. "There will be a similar earthquake soon... Whatever we can learn about this fault and how it moves is, to some extent, helping us understand and prepare for the next great earthquake.". Geologically, this is a high probability. "Intense shaking caused numerous large landslides, forest damage, and long-term changes to drainage and sedimentation patterns in the Southern Alps, across the coastal plain, and offshore," researchers said on Tuesday. The length of the rupture will be up to 400 km, eg. I am more a ban plastic bags, low emission cars, keep the rivers clean, recycle everything possible, hydro power sort of a guy. Front page photograph: The Alpine Fault at Inchbonnie – Hohonus and Taramakau River looking east [L.Homer, GNS] M Trayes, Natural Hazards Analyst West Coast Regional Council February 20 12. Pretty well everywhere in NZ will feel it if there’s a large rupture I’ve read – & you can bet Welly will get whacked hard. Need a new fix. Earthquakes dont follow a particular time scale and saying something may happen in the next few hundred years is like saying I dont know what the hell I am talking about, they should join the treasury and just leave us alone. Scientists, working as part of Project Alpine Fault Magnitude 8 (AF8), have marked the end of their first two years of work planning and preparing for a severe magnitude eight earthquakes. A very badly made mountain. May 16,2018; Here is the complete series of videos which have been produced by the AF8 Project. The research has important earthquake hazard implications nationally by providing a much longer record and therefore a more reliable forecast of when the next major earthquake will occur on the southern section of the Alpine Fault. Video simulations demonstrate widespread destruction across the South Island if New Zealand’s most dangerous fault line ruptures, and there’s evidence the country is due for another big one. Tuesday 11 September 2018 3:12pm. Share on Twitter; Share on Facebook; Share via email; Share on Reddit; Share on Linked In ; Georgina McLean, Senior Digital Journalist. The last major earthquake on the Alpine Fault occurred 295 years ago. South Island plan for the next Alpine Fault quake. If we confine ourselves geographically to a particular fault or collection of faults, there are two specific timeframes over which a bona fide prediction would be actionable, giving us the chance to meaningfully act to mitigate the worst of the damage and devastation. Free speech for those who don't threaten free speech, Medicinal Cannabis, Links and Information, ‘Governments need more history graduates’. The first four videos are shorter, and the next four are more detailed and longer format. An Alpine Fault earthquake will likely rupture a larger fault length (several hundreds of kilometres rather than several tens of kilometres) over a longer period of time (100s of seconds rather than tens of seconds) and affect a much larger area than the Darfield earthquake. You are wasting your time Griff the whole thing is a massive hoax, I have dumped my solar and stocks and investing in thermals and stockpiling vitamin D tablets and looking forward to ice skating across the Thames like my ancestors. The last time this happened was 301 years ago. No Dave if the sun goes quite we expect temperatures to keep increasing . Want to be spooked by Mr Ring ’ s predictions the Midland line strategy for sustainable growth! 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